Genesis
Building a Centralized Forecasting Solution for the Oil & Gas Industry

Genesis
Building a Centralized Forecasting Solution for the Oil & Gas Industry

Industry

Oil & Gas

Client

Hess

Company

Strategy CX

Role

Product Designer
(UX-focused)

Scope

End-to-end Product Design
(Discovery → Delivery)

Problem Statement

Operational teams relied on fragmented tools and spreadsheets to manage production forecasting. This resulted in duplicated work, inconsistent versions of forecasts, and low confidence in decision-making.


Forecasting wasn’t only slow — it directly affected operational reliability and planning accuracy across teams.

Problem Statement

Operational teams relied on fragmented tools and spreadsheets to manage production forecasting. This resulted in duplicated work, inconsistent versions of forecasts, and low confidence in decision-making.


Forecasting wasn’t only slow — it directly affected operational reliability and planning accuracy across teams.

Goals

  • Centralize forecasting workflows into a single platform

  • Reduce manual data reconciliation

  • Improve trust and alignment across operational teams

  • Enable faster and more informed decision-making


Discovery & Research

We ran a 4-week discovery phase with cross-functional stakeholders:


  • 62 interviews

  • 56 participants

  • 45+ hours of qualitative research


This allowed us to understand not only functional needs, but behavioral patterns around how forecasts were created, reviewed, and approved.


Key insights:

  • Excel was being used as database, tracker, and communication tool

  • Lack of version control created misalignment

  • Analysts needed safe spaces for scenario testing

  • Leaders needed quick access to risk signals

Forecasting was slow and error-prone due to siloed systems, lack of automation, and inconsistent data. Teams worked in isolation, manually updating Excel files, and constantly reconciling disconnected inputs. These inefficiencies didn’t just affect planning—they impacted operational reliability.

To ground our design strategy, we launched a comprehensive discovery phase: four weeks of field research, 62 interviews across 56 people, totaling over 45 hours of conversations. These sessions revealed widespread friction, from duplicated processes to missing version control and constant miscommunication between departments.

blueprint service

We mapped the entire MBR and QLA forecasting cycles to visualize how data, decisions, and responsibilities flowed across teams.


This blueprint revealed systemic issues:

  • Redundant steps

  • Information silos

  • Manual handoffs

  • High cognitive load during critical decision moments


This artifact became our north star for redefining the forecasting system — not just digitizing an old process, but redesigning the workflow.

We mapped out the entire MBR and QLA forecasting cycles using a detailed service blueprint. This visualization helped expose key pain points: data inconsistencies, rework, lack of update tracking, and a general overload of unstructured information. Many processes were still dependent on Excel—used not just for calculation but as a database, tracker, and communication tool all at once.

This blueprint became a north star for our product direction. We didn’t just want to digitize an old process—we needed to rethink the foundation.

personas

Instead of designing for departments, we designed for behaviors:

  • Analysts needed deep control, scenario simulation, and traceability

  • Decision-makers needed fast insights, comparisons, and risk visibility


These behavioral differences informed:

  • Navigation structure

  • Information hierarchy

  • Level of interface complexity

Instead of designing for departments, we designed for behaviors. We developed personas based on how users interacted with forecasting data—whether they were aggregating inputs, modifying assumptions, or reporting outcomes. Each persona had different priorities and friction points.

For example, analysts needed deeper control and scenario testing, while decision-makers required fast access to insights and risk flags. These distinctions shaped everything from navigation to interface layout.

user journeys

user journeys

user journeys

We mapped key journeys such as:

  • Reviewing a new forecast

  • Simulating alternative scenarios

  • Aligning teams before decision deadlines


This helped us identify friction points like manual handoffs, unclear ownership, and missing validation steps — which directly informed feature prioritization.

User journeys helped us visualize how different personas moved through the platform. We focused on simplifying common workflows like reviewing a new forecast, testing a scenario, or aligning across departments before a cycle deadline.

This mapping revealed moments of unnecessary friction: manual handoffs, unclear ownership, and lack of validation points. We then designed features that aligned with each journey—prioritizing visibility, control, and collaboration.

design strategy

design strategy

design strategy


We defined core product principles:


  • Clarity over visual complexity

  • Comparison as a primary action

  • Traceability of assumptions

  • Progressive disclosure for advanced analysis


These principles guided all interface and interaction decisions.


The platform’s UI was modular and role-based. Each persona had a dedicated view with widgets tailored to their needs, such as forecast creation tools, status indicators, and performance dashboards.

One of the most powerful additions was the Forecast Sandbox—a space where users could simulate production scenarios by adjusting variables like cycle time, output volume, or failure rates. These simulations updated in real time and could be saved, shared, or annotated for later review.

design solution

design solution

design solution


Modular & Role-based UI


The platform adapts to different user roles, showing:


  • Forecast creation tools

  • Status indicators

  • Performance dashboards

  • Version comparison views

The platform’s UI was modular and role-based. Each persona had a dedicated view with widgets tailored to their needs, such as forecast creation tools, status indicators, and performance dashboards.

One of the most powerful additions was the Forecast Sandbox—a space where users could simulate production scenarios by adjusting variables like cycle time, output volume, or failure rates. These simulations updated in real time and could be saved, shared, or annotated for later review.

We introduced a sandbox environment where users could simulate production scenarios by adjusting variables such as cycle time, output volume, and failure rates — with real-time updates.


This reduced dependency on offline Excel simulations and supported more confident decision-making.

We introduced a sandbox environment where users could simulate production scenarios by adjusting variables such as cycle time, output volume, and failure rates — with real-time updates.


This reduced dependency on offline Excel simulations and supported more confident decision-making.

Visualizing Complex Data

Visualizing Complex Data

Special attention was given to data visualization, enabling users to:


  • Compare forecast versions

  • Identify anomalies

  • Filter time-series data

  • Export annotated insights

Special attention was given to data visualization, enabling users to:


  • Compare forecast versions

  • Identify anomalies

  • Filter time-series data

  • Export annotated insights

impact

impact

After the platform was introduced:

The platform made forecasting faster, smarter, and more collaborative. Data gathering time dropped by 30%, teams began aligning around a single environment, and forecasting reliability improved across the board. More importantly, we laid a foundation for a scalable system that could evolve with Hess’s operational needs.

Genesis wasn’t just a tool—it was a shift in how forecasting was done.

~30% reduction in manual data gathering time

Faster alignment across teams around a single source of truth

Increased confidence in forecasting decisions

Reduced operational friction during forecasting cycles

The platform made forecasting faster, smarter, and more collaborative. Data gathering time dropped by 30%, teams began aligning around a single environment, and forecasting reliability improved across the board. More importantly, we laid a foundation for a scalable system that could evolve with Hess’s operational needs.

Genesis wasn’t just a tool—it was a shift in how forecasting was done.

Beyond metrics, the platform shifted forecasting from a fragmented, manual process to a scalable, product-driven system.

The platform made forecasting faster, smarter, and more collaborative. Data gathering time dropped by 30%, teams began aligning around a single environment, and forecasting reliability improved across the board. More importantly, we laid a foundation for a scalable system that could evolve with Hess’s operational needs.

Genesis wasn’t just a tool—it was a shift in how forecasting was done.

reflection

This project reinforced that impactful UX in complex systems is less about visual polish and more about:


  • Reducing cognitive load

  • Supporting decision-making

  • Designing for long-term product evolution

Let’s connect and explore how I can contribute to your next challenge.

Available For Call

+55 (11) 99295 3540

danierocruz@gmail.com

Designed & Developed

by Daniel Cruz

All rights reserved,

DOC ©2025

Let’s connect and explore how I can contribute to your next challenge.

Available For Call

+55 (11) 99295 3540

danierocruz@gmail.com

Designed & Developed

by Daniel Cruz

All rights reserved, YUYA ©2024